Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
First-leg 0-0
São Paulo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CRZ
0 - 1
SAO
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 0
SAO
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
ATM
45%
26%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
FOR
49%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 0
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |