São Paulo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
COR
5 - 0
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 2
SAO
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
GRE
46%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
ATM
0 - 1
SAO
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
FFL
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
COT
52%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOT
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAN
40%
24%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |