São Paulo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
TIG
2 - 1
SAO
31%
25%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
PAY
2 - 2
SAO
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 0
TIG
65%
21%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
CRZ
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAL
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
BOT
3 - 2
JUV
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATP
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
GOI
4 - 0
BOT
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATM
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
BOT
3 - 1
COR
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |