São Paulo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
SCI
1 - 4
SAO
37%
25%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
55%
22%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
71%
17%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 0
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2001 |
VEL
4 - 2
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 3
GRE
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
3 - 1
PAL
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
BOT
3 - 0
CRZ
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SCI
2 - 2
BOT
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
VAS
3 - 1
BOT
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |