São Paulo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1993 |
SAO
3 - 2
ACM
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
SAO
0 - 2
PAL
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1993 |
REM
0 - 1
SAO
36%
30%
35%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
SAO
3 - 2
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1993 |
SAO
2 - 0
REM
62%
24%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
59%
25%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1993 |
FLA
2 - 0
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1993 |
BOT
3 - 0
BAH
63%
23%
13%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1993 |
BOT
2 - 0
SCI
45%
28%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
COR
5 - 1
BOT
56%
26%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |