São Paulo vs Avaí analysis

São Paulo Avaí
85 ELO 74
-7.5% Tilt 1.9%
69º General ELO ranking 610º
Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
59.9%
São Paulo
22.5%
Draw
17.6%
Avaí

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
São Paulo
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.6%
Win probability
Avaí
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

São Paulo
Avaí
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Paulo
São Paulo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2011
SAO
São Paulo
0 - 2
Santos FC
SAN
44%
25%
31%
85 84 1 0
28 Apr. 2011
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 0
Goiás EC
GOI
60%
22%
18%
85 75 10 0
24 Apr. 2011
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 0
Portuguesa
POR
71%
18%
11%
85 70 15 0
21 Apr. 2011
GOI
Goiás EC
0 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
34%
26%
40%
85 75 10 0
17 Apr. 2011
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 1
Oeste
OES
78%
15%
7%
85 62 23 0

Matches

Avaí
Avaí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2011
CHA
Chapecoense
2 - 2
Avaí
AVA
26%
24%
50%
75 61 14 0
24 Apr. 2011
FFL
Figueirense
0 - 2
Avaí
AVA
53%
23%
24%
74 73 1 +1
21 Apr. 2011
AVA
Avaí
1 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
35%
26%
40%
74 83 9 0
17 Apr. 2011
AVA
Avaí
4 - 0
84%
11%
5%
74 43 31 0
14 Apr. 2011
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 2
Avaí
AVA
69%
18%
13%
73 83 10 +1