São Paulo vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 4
SAO
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
ALI
0 - 1
SAO
18%
25%
58%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
19%
25%
57%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 2
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
GRÊ
0 - 5
SAO
3%
13%
84%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SWA
1 - 2
ACS
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 3
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
ACS
2 - 1
NEC
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
NUB
3 - 2
ACS
34%
27%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
ACS
2 - 0
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |