Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 0-0
São Paulo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
COT
2 - 2
SAO
29%
28%
43%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2008 |
SAO
3 - 1
ATP
61%
23%
17%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAO
38%
28%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
ATP
0 - 0
SAO
30%
28%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
SAO
2 - 1
GOI
64%
22%
15%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
ATM
4 - 0
ATP
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2008 |
SAO
3 - 1
ATP
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
ATP
5 - 0
IFC
65%
22%
14%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
ATP
0 - 0
SAO
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
FLA
1 - 0
ATP
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |