Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
São Paulo vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 1
VIT
55%
25%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
ATL
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 2
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 0
SLO
64%
22%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
CUI
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
ATM
32%
28%
40%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CRZ
0 - 0
ATM
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |