São Paulo vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1978 |
SAO
6 - 1
RIV
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
COM
0 - 1
SAO
22%
26%
53%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1978 |
SAO
2 - 0
FOR
70%
20%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAO
22%
27%
51%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
PAL
0 - 1
SAO
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1978 |
BOT
0 - 3
ATM
16%
21%
64%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
SAN
3 - 0
ATM
40%
25%
35%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 0
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
PAL
4 - 5
ATM
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
UNI
1 - 1
ATM
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |