Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 5-1
São Paulo vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.4%
3.1%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 0
BSC
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 1
FLU
46%
27%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CSL
1 - 3
SAO
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 3
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 3
SAO
5%
18%
77%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 0
AGU
64%
23%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 1
CAM
64%
21%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 1
FPI
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 3
SAO
5%
18%
77%
|
45 | 88 | 43 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 1
AGU
54%
25%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |