São Paulo vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.4%
2-0
19.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
25.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CSA
1 - 2
SAO
23%
28%
48%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 1
SCI
39%
29%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAS
50%
27%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CEA
1 - 1
SAO
34%
30%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
AGU
4 - 1
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
MIR
3 - 1
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
XVD
0 - 0
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 3
XVD
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 2
MIR
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |