São Paulo vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SAO
4 - 0
SPO
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GOI
4 - 2
SAO
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
BOT
3 - 2
SAO
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 0
VIT
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
42%
26%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
CAM
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 1
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
DUQ
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
ABC
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |