São Paulo AP vs Independente AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
50.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SEC
3 - 4
SPM
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
ECM
2 - 6
SPM
42%
25%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
SPM
1 - 1
TDC
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
SPM
1 - 1
YAP
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SPM
1 - 2
YAP
32%
23%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
IAP
1 - 3
SAN
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SEC
0 - 1
IAP
19%
20%
61%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
IAP
1 - 0
YAP
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
ECM
1 - 1
IAP
23%
21%
56%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
IAP
5 - 0
TDC
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |