São Paulo AP vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPM
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 2
ORC
23%
20%
57%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
YAP
1 - 0
SPM
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
IAP
4 - 1
SPM
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
SPM
0 - 8
YAP
31%
24%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
ECM
1 - 2
SEC
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ECM
1 - 2
IAP
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ECM
1 - 2
ORC
29%
21%
50%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
TDC
1 - 0
ECM
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ECM
1 - 2
IAP
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |