Sao Paulo Crystal vs Serra Branca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+132%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Paulo Crystal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
SOU
4 - 0
SPC
72%
17%
10%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 3
CSP
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 1
ATL
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 1
SPC
55%
23%
21%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
POM
0 - 1
SPC
42%
22%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Serra Branca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
CSP
0 - 2
SER
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
23 | 64 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
NAC
15%
20%
66%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
CAM
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | +1 |