Sao Paulo Crystal vs Serra Branca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+132%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Paulo Crystal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
SPC
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
AUT
0 - 0
SPC
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SPC
2 - 1
QUE
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
CSP
0 - 1
SPC
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 1
SOU
23%
23%
55%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Branca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
SER
3 - 2
AUT
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
NAC
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
CSP
1 - 1
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
BOT
9%
18%
74%
|
11 | 61 | 50 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 0
SER
83%
13%
4%
|
10 | 52 | 42 | +1 |