São Mateus vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 1
SAO
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 4
SEC
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 0
VOL
49%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 2
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SEC
1 - 2
VIL
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 1
SAO
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VOL
0 - 1
VIL
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
AMF
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |