São Mateus vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SCS
2 - 2
SAO
9%
14%
77%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 2
VIT
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 3
SAO
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
DES
28%
26%
46%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
VFC
2 - 0
SAO
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 0
RVV
44%
23%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NVE
3 - 0
RIO
52%
22%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 2
NVE
33%
23%
44%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DES
2 - 1
RIO
18%
24%
58%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
ITA
77%
16%
8%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |