AR São Martinho vs Vilar de Perdizes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
14º
11º
35
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 2
CAS
6%
15%
78%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 0
SMA
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
3 - 3
GUA
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 1
PED
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AMA
2 - 0
SMA
37%
28%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VPE
1 - 0
VIL
10%
16%
74%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VST
4 - 0
VPE
79%
14%
8%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 1
VPE
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VPE
1 - 6
TIR
11%
19%
70%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
FAF
5 - 1
VPE
78%
15%
7%
|
13 | 48 | 35 | -1 |