AR São Martinho vs Varzim B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 1
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
SMA
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 1
FEL
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
SMA
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
3 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 0
VAR
49%
23%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 1
TOR
36%
23%
40%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
VAR
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
ADO
22%
24%
54%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 0
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |