AR São Martinho vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SMA
2 - 0
ARO
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SMA
0 - 1
VIZ
14%
21%
65%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FEL
0 - 2
SMA
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
GAN
2 - 3
SMA
18%
20%
62%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 3
PAD
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 0
SOB
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 2
FEL
61%
22%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 2
TRO
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 0
TRO
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TRO
2 - 1
SCF
24%
28%
48%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |