AR São Martinho vs Torre Moncorvo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 0
SMA
20%
21%
59%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
REA
3 - 2
SMA
57%
22%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 1
CAM
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
SMA
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SMA
6 - 0
RAI
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Torre Moncorvo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TMO
0 - 3
PED
14%
19%
68%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TMO
0 - 3
CIN
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 1
TMO
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TMO
1 - 1
GAN
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TMO
1 - 1
AGU
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |