AR São Martinho vs Monção analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
14º
11º
26
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
SMA
27%
23%
51%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 2
VIA
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 1
SMA
44%
28%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 4
VPE
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 2
CAS
6%
15%
78%
|
40 | 71 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
AMA
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
MON
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
BRA
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIA
2 - 1
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
DUM
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |