AR São Martinho vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
14º
11º
30
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PED
1 - 1
SMA
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
AMA
42%
27%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
BRA
80%
14%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 2
SMA
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 1
PEV
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
VIL
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIA
2 - 1
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TIR
2 - 1
MER
53%
23%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
VPE
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
MER
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |