AR São Martinho vs Dumiense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
14º
11º
31
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PEV
4 - 1
SMA
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 1
SMA
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
SMA
15%
20%
66%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 1
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
DUM
3 - 2
VIL
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VIA
0 - 0
DUM
54%
23%
24%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 3
TIR
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VPE
1 - 1
DUM
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
MER
40%
23%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |