AR São Martinho vs Braganca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+81%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
14º
11º
18
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 2
SMA
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 1
PEV
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
SMA
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SMA
3 - 1
BRI
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SMA
3 - 1
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 2
VIL
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIA
2 - 0
BRA
67%
20%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 2
TIR
19%
24%
57%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VPE
1 - 0
BRA
37%
24%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 2
MER
19%
23%
59%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |