São Luiz vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
SCI
1 - 2
SLU
85%
12%
3%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 2
SLU
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SLU
0 - 3
YPI
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
APA
1 - 2
SLU
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SLU
0 - 4
APA
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 3
JUV
17%
23%
59%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
YPI
3 - 3
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
PEL
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAX
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
GRE
4 - 3
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |