São Luiz vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SLU
0 - 1
CAX
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
SLU
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 0
SLU
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SLU
3 - 0
ESP
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SLU
0 - 1
ECS
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAS
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
NOV
77%
17%
6%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 1
CRU
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
NOV
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 1
LAJ
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |