São Luiz vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SCI
0 - 0
SLU
90%
8%
2%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SLU
3 - 2
LAJ
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SLU
1 - 1
ECS
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
YPI
2 - 1
SLU
47%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
SLU
0 - 0
CAN
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAX
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 1
NOV
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
YPI
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SCI
0 - 0
NOV
81%
14%
5%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ECS
2 - 2
NOV
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |