São Luiz vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
26%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
SLU
0 - 0
CAX
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 2
SLU
44%
27%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SLU
1 - 2
NOV
26%
28%
46%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLU
48%
28%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SLU
1 - 1
MAR
40%
29%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
JEC
0 - 0
PEL
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
JEC
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
JEC
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
2 - 1
SAO
28%
28%
44%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
JEC
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |