São Luiz vs EC Avenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VER
3 - 1
SLU
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SLU
2 - 1
CAC
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 0
SLU
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
SLU
88%
9%
3%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SLU
0 - 1
CAX
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ECA
1 - 0
LAJ
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
ECA
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ECA
2 - 2
YPI
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ECA
3 - 3
CAN
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ECS
3 - 0
ECA
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |