São Luiz vs Ceramica AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 0
SLU
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
SLU
88%
9%
3%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SLU
0 - 1
CAX
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SLU
0 - 0
CRU
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 2
SLU
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ceramica AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 1
ECS
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 2
LAJ
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 2
CAC
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SCI
1 - 2
CAC
86%
11%
3%
|
41 | 84 | 43 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 2
JUV
17%
23%
60%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +1 |