São Luiz vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
CAC
0 - 1
SLU
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SLU
1 - 0
NOV
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
SLU
4 - 0
GRE
8%
19%
73%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
LAJ
2 - 0
SLU
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SLU
0 - 0
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
CAX
3 - 2
ESP
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAX
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAX
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CAX
2 - 1
VER
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 0
CAX
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |