São Luiz vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 3
SLU
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SLU
2 - 1
JEC
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
SLU
0 - 0
CAX
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 2
SLU
44%
27%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SLU
1 - 2
NOV
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
TUB
1 - 1
CAX
23%
26%
51%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
NOV
18%
25%
57%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
TUB
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
TUB
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
JEC
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |