São Luiz vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SLU
1 - 3
ECA
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
ISM
0 - 1
SLU
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
VER
0 - 1
SLU
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
SLU
0 - 1
SCI
8%
16%
76%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SLU
0 - 0
NOV
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAX
2 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECS
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 3
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
RIO
4 - 1
BRA
58%
21%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 0
CON
52%
25%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |