Série D Brazil Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 2-5
São Luiz vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SLU
2 - 0
CAB
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
CAB
1 - 1
SLU
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SLU
3 - 0
TUB
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 3
SLU
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SLU
2 - 1
JEC
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
APA
4 - 0
TFC
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 1
APA
25%
24%
52%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
LTD
2 - 6
APA
24%
24%
51%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
APA
4 - 2
VIT
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
2 - 1
APA
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |