São José vs USAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
DES
1 - 0
SAO
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
GRE
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 2
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 2
DES
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
USA
0 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
USAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
USA
3 - 1
GRE
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DES
1 - 1
USA
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
USA
1 - 0
DES
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
USA
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
USA
0 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |