São José vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 0
SAO
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
4 - 1
AME
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 3
AUD
44%
25%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAT
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AUD
1 - 2
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
OSV
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 1
UNI
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |