São José vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+128%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ATI
2 - 1
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 0
SER
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 2
SAO
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
VOT
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
PRI
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
3 - 1
COT
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 1
PRI
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 5
PRI
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |