Cup Paulista Etapas Finales Final
Global 2-3
São José vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
GRE
52%
24%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
34%
26%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 0
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAO
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
XVD
0 - 1
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
XVD
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
NOR
28%
25%
46%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
POR
54%
26%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |