São José vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AME
4 - 1
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 3
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
4 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 2
ATL
46%
23%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 3
RBB
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
PEN
24%
24%
53%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
VEL
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
PEN
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |