São José vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 3
ATI
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 2
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
SAO
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
NAC
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
GRÊ
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
FLA
38%
25%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
SER
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 0
NOR
69%
20%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |