São José vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VOT
1 - 0
SAO
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
RIO
44%
24%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 1
DES
31%
26%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
USA
2 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
BER
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 1
NAC
24%
25%
52%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 3
COM
40%
26%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
NAC
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |