São José vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 2
AUD
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 1
SAO
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
JUV
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 0
AUD
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 1
SAO
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
NAC
69%
19%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +2 |