São José vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 3
FLA
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
SAO
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
SAO
52%
25%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
52%
26%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
NOR
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
ATI
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
SJS
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 2
GUA
49%
24%
26%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |