São José vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 4
VEL
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
AUD
5 - 0
SAO
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
FER
56%
23%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRA
58%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
52%
27%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |