São José vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 1
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
RBB
36%
24%
40%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
PEN
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AME
4 - 1
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
CAP
60%
21%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRÊ
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CRB
2 - 1
GRÊ
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 2
GRÊ
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |