São José vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
USA
2 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 3
LIN
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 1
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAN
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
DES
0 - 1
NOR
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 2
DES
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
CAP
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
PRI
1 - 0
DES
30%
28%
42%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
DES
2 - 2
VOT
40%
27%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |