São José vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 3
INT
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
INT
0 - 2
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
SAO
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 2
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
SAO
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
COM
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
SAO
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
INT
2 - 1
COM
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 1
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |